The stocks
I include 16 stocks (one is an
ETF) for analysis. After initial analysis, I classify them into the following
groups.
Coal
|
Gold miner ETF
|
General Mining
|
Steel
|
Petroleum
w Nat Gas
|
|
No.
|
11
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
Stocks
|
ACI,ANR,ARLP,BTU,CLD,CNX,JRCC,NRP,WLB,WLT, YZC
|
GDX
|
RIO
|
SID
|
CHK,DVN
|
Value
These stocks have very high
potential for appreciation. However, they are risky. Most have high debts (the
average debt/equity is 133% in this group) and their survival depends on many
factors.
Stock
|
Price (7/4/13)
|
Forward
Yield
|
Cash
Flow
|
P/B
|
Debt/
Equity
|
P-
Score
|
ACI
|
3.69
|
-35%
|
Worst
|
.3
|
184%
|
-4
|
ANR
|
5.33
|
-75%
|
Worst
|
.2
|
70%
|
-6
|
ARLP
|
71.06
|
10%
|
Avg
|
3.6
|
109%
|
8
|
BTU
|
14.86
|
3%
|
Worst
|
.8
|
126%
|
-2
|
CHK
|
20.92
|
5%
|
Worst
|
1.1
|
106%
|
1
|
CLD
|
16.19
|
5%
|
Worst
|
1.0
|
83%
|
-2
|
CNX
|
27.12
|
10%
|
Worst
|
1.6
|
81%
|
-1
|
DVN
|
53.05
|
5%
|
Worst
|
1.1
|
82%
|
-2
|
JRCC
|
1.82
|
-80%
|
Worst
|
.3
|
255%
|
-5
|
NRP
|
20.48
|
10%
|
Avg
|
3.4
|
172%
|
3
|
RIO
|
40.69
|
10%
|
Avg
|
1.6
|
57%
|
0
|
SID
|
2.61
|
15%
|
Worst
|
5.6
|
329%
|
2
|
WLB
|
11.4
|
5%
|
Best
|
-1
|
||
WLT
|
10.79
|
-35%
|
Worst
|
.5
|
276%
|
-2
|
YZC
|
7.03
|
15%
|
Best
|
.5
|
90%
|
4
|
BTU has coal mines in Australia,
which is closer to its customer, China. RIO has mines of different ores all
over the world. ARLP and NRP are partnerships.
GDX. an ETF for gold miners, is
not included in the above table. It has a non-correction between GLD, the ETF
for gold, so I believe there is good value in gold miners.
Most data are obtained from
finviz.com. Forward yield is my estimate and it is defined as forward E/P. Cash
Flow is based on the free site Blue
Chip Growth. Cash Flow and Debt / Equity measure whether the company will
survive. The table does not include all the metrics. P-Score is based on my
book Storing
Stocks and 3 is the passing grade.
Safer
|
Middle
|
Risky
|
|
No.
|
3
|
6
|
7
|
Stocks
|
ARLP, NRP, YZC
|
CHK, BTU, GDX, RIO, SID, WLB
|
ACI, ANR, CLD, CNX, DVN, JRCC,
WLT
|
I have two scoring systems. One
is described in my book Scoring Stocks and the other one uses information from
several subscription services. In general, the two systems are quite
compatible.
YZC scores the highest and it has
a high dividend yield.
ACI and ANR though risky have the
most upside potential and both prices are less than 30% of their book values.
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